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In shortthe cases it will let you down

Where it stops.

A detector that hides its blind spots is worse than none. These are ours.

§1What a verdict is not
  • It gives evidence, not proof. Inconsistent means two endpoints do not behave alike. It does not say why, and it says nothing about intent.
  • It is one moment. A verdict covers the requests that were sent. It says nothing about yesterday or tomorrow.
§2What looks the same
  • Other causes leave the same mark. A hidden system prompt, a different version, changed sampling settings: each shifts the answers. The token counts help you tell a hidden prompt from the rest.
  • The reference decides everything. If the side you trust is not the real model, the verdict is about the wrong thing.
§3What gets past it
  • Compressed copies. In our own trial, a 4-bit copy of a model usually passed as consistent against the full version at the standard sample size. See the case.
  • A prepared gateway. One that recognises these eight questions could send only those to the real model and everything else to a cheaper one.
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